Recreational and Degenerate Gamblers Alike:
Each week this page will be dedicated to my NCAA Football Picks against the spread. You will find the early games posted up by Thursday morning. Stop back throughout the week for a preview of the weekend games with full analysis by weeks end. The games posted are in no means LOCKS of the week but they are definitely worth a look into.
– Mr. K.
**Last week there was some good value in the dog. Especially in the NFL. Mississippi State backdoor covered for a win and the pick of the week hit. Ultimately, it was a losing weekend for myself because I went total degenerate on my bets, especially NFL. Going against my number one rule of chasing and taking too many games is aggravating. Discipline is the only way you win. At least if you followed my moneybag bets and went big on SMU, you should have made it out on top.
– This week’s card BLOWS. Tough to find value. I think these two early games are worth a look:
West Virginia put in a dismal performance against Texas last week and lost a slop game to TCU the week before. I expect them to regroup and win the game. However, Kansas State is unpredictable on the road. I think the better play is on the over. Both teams score at least 30 in well played games. With West Virginia at home in Morgantown, expect them to do this again for the home crowd. Kansas State will keep up also. WVU wins 37-34.
Pick Analysis: What a joke of a game. If these teams scored half TD’s when in the redzone and not botched field goals it would have went way over. JOKE
Utah State may overlook this game en route to next weeks game @ Boise State playing for the division title. However, at home Utah State plays great defense and SJSU cannot get it together offensively. Also, the Spartan’s young QB will be out this game putting in the Senior Blake Jurich. Jurich played the first three games of the season. In two road games (Minnesota and Auburn) he posted 2 TD’s and 4 interceptions. Utah State wins 32-13
MSU played like dog shit last week and still won by 20+.
UTSA posts a descent defense but their offense is atrocious. Western Kentucky will score at least 20 to UTSA’s 7.
LA Tech @ ODU over @ 67
LA Tech is one of the best teams in C-USA this year. ODU can score along with LA Tech. Tech puts up 40+ ODU puts up 20+
1:30 New Mexico @ Colorado State (-21) WIN
This is a style point game for State. Gonna smoke the Lobos.
3:30 – Syrauce @ Pitt (-7) WIN
Pitt will easily cover this as long as they do not turn the ball over 7 times.
FIU @ Middle Tennessee (-7)
FIU has one of the weakest defenses and offenses in the country. Middle Tennessee loves to score.
Washington needs one more win to be bowl eligible and they will get it done at home. Oregon State blows, and after a big win over ASU expect a huge let down to occur.
1/1 Picks of week.
ALL TIME Mr. Money Bags: 47 of 97 (48%)
I am an avid gambler whose hobby is researching games and trying to bust the books each and every weekend. The games listed have been analyzed up and down (email me, I will show you my spreadsheet!). By no means will I touch every game, but if I do it is sure to be ones I have listed on this page. Will you always be a winner with my picks? NO! Will I mush some bets? YES! But in the end, I usually end up on top. Please feel free to post your picks ATS and comment at will.